Thursday, March 4, 2010

Target Blue dogs


Please target the ones in red first.


House Members by State

Name District Competitive race? Obama-McCainJunior? Comment
Brian BairdWA-03Retiring52-46 NoHe's retiring
,
making him immune to GOP pressure. He recently said he was totally "undecided."
John BoccieriOH-16 Yes 48-50FreshmanBoccieri has turned out to be a lesser priority for the NRCC than fellow Ohio freshmen Kilroy and Driehaus. He has recently sounded open to supporting the bill.
Bart GordonTN-06Retiring37-62 Sophomore He's retiring, which puts him right at the top of the Democrats' priority list since the GOP can't pressure him with electoral reasons. He is a Blue Dog. A very important detail: He voted for the bill in the Energy & Commerce Committee before opposing it on the floor, which certainly suggests he'd be open to voting for it now.
Larry KissellNC-08Yes53-47freshmanFaces a competitive race, though he represents one of the bluest districts among the 39 who voted 'no' in the fall.
Scott MurphyNY-23Not for now51-48freshmanMurphy looks safer than he did this fallThat leaves us with 18 Democrats whose support for a final bill is plausible, albeit still tough to envision. It will at the least require some very heavy pushing for Pelosi to convince any of these:
Jason AltmirePA-04Yes44-55SophomoreDespite a few hints of openness to supporting a bill, he has sounded very hostile to health-care reform and the abortion issue should seal his "no." He's a Blue Dog.
John AdlerNJ-03Yes52-47FreshmanAdler has done his best to position himself as a centrist over the past few months and he is facing a tricky race. Yet, he is less vulnerable than many others on this list and he represents a district that clearly voted for Obama. He should be right at the top of Pelosi's target list.
John BarrowGA-12No54-45NoAllen BoydFL-02In primary45-54NoAt this point, this Blue Dog has more to worry about in the Dem primary than in the general election. He's a Blue Dog.Rick BoucherVA-09Yes40-59NoBoucher looks far more vulnerable now than he did in the fall, which will complicate Pelosi's outreach.
Ben ChandlerKY-06Probably not43-55NoThe filing deadline has passed in Kentucky, and while the race could heat up Chandler doesn't have to worry about facing a top-tier Republican. Will this encourage him to vote "yes"? He did support cap-and-trade. He's a Blue Dog.
Tim HoldenPA-17Yes48-51NoHe's a Blue Dog, and he is facing his first tough re-election race in some time.
Suzanne KosmasFL-24Yes49-51freshmanShe has emerged as a fairly centrist Democrat, so I'd be somewhat surprised if she switches; but her district is not as red as others on this list.
Frank KratovilMD-01Yes40-58freshmanIf Pelosi convinces him that he will lose anyway, perhaps?Betsy MarkeyCO-04Yes49-50freshmanShe's a Blue Dog. The Democratic leadership let her be the main sponsor of the bill repealing the anti-trust exemption; might she repay them by voting "yes"?
Eric MassaNY-29Probably48-51freshmanHe is fundraising off his initial vote for health-care, but he is one of the most obvious votes for the leadership to target.
Jim MathesonUT-02Probably not39-57NoWould be surprised if he votes "yes," but in recent comments he was less hostile than other Blue Dogs. He's a Blue Dog.
Michael McMahonNY-03Perhaps49-51freshman
Mike McIntyreNC-07No47-52NoThe filing deadline passed in North Carolina, and the GOP failed to recruit a credible challenger despite the district's red lean. Despite McIntyre's conservatism, that alone makes him a target to leadership pressure. He's a Blue Dog.
Glenn NyeVA-02Yes51-49freshmanHe's a Blue Dog, a freshman and he faces a tough race in November - a tough combination for Pelosi. But he also represents one of the few Obama districts on this list, so he is sure to face more pressure than others.
Colin PetersonMN-07Probably not47-50NoCommittee chairman. He's a Blue Dog.
Ike SkeltonMO-04Yes38-61No He's a Blue Dog. The abortion issue could prevent Pelosi from convincing him.
John TannerTN-08Retiring43-56 NoHis retirement is prompting talk he might be more wiling to help his party, though he looks likely to do so than Baird and Gordon. He's a Blue Dog.

Targeted House of Representative Members
Rep. Michael Arcuri, New York 24thhttp://arcuri.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-3665, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-1891Local Office Number: (315) 252-2777/2778, Local Fax Number: (315) 252-2779
Rep. John Boccieri, Ohio, 16thhttp://boccieri.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-3876, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-3059Local Office Number: (330) 489-4414, Local Fax Number: (330) 489-4448
Rep. Allen Boyd, Florida, 2ndhttp://boyd.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-5235, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-5615Local Office Number: (850) 561-3979, Local Fax Number: (850) 681-2902
Rep. Christopher Carney, Pennsylvania, 16thhttp://carney.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-3731, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-9594Local Office Number: (570) 585-9988, Local Fax Number: (570) 585-9977
Rep. Gerald "Gerry" Connolly, Virginia, 11thhttp://connolly.house.gov/index.htmlDC Office Number: (202) 225-1492 DC Fax Number: (202) 225-3071Local Office Number: (703) 256-3071, Local Fax Number: (703) 354-1284
Rep. Henry Cuellar, Texas 28thhttp://cuellar.house.gov/DC Office Number: 202-225-1640, DC Fax Number: 202-225-1641Local Office Number: (210) 271-2851, Local Fax Number: (210) 277-6671
Rep. Steve Driehaus, Ohio, 1sthttp://driehaus.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-2216, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-3012Local Office Number: (513) 684-2723, Local Fax Number: (513) 421-8722
Rep. Chet Edwards, Texas, 17thhttp://edwards.house.gov/DC Office Number: 202-225-6105, DC Fax Number: Fax: 202-225-0350Local Office Number: (979) 691-8797, Local Fax Number: (979) 691-8939
Rep. Brad Ellsworth, Indiana, 8thhttp://www.ellsworth.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-4636, DC Office Fax: (202) 225-3284Local Office Number: (812) 465-6484, Local Fax Number: (812) 422-4761
Rep. Bob Etheridge, North Carolina, 2ndhttp://etheridge.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-4531Local Office Number: (919) 829-9122
Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, Arizona, 8thhttp://giffords.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-2542, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-0378Local Office Number: (520) 881-3588, Local Fax Number: (520) 322-9490
Rep. Deborah "Debbie" Halvorson, Illinois, 11th http://halvorson.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-3635, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-3521Local Office Number: (815) 726-4998, Local Fax Number: (815) 726-8024
Rep. Paul W. Hodes, New Hampshire, 2ndhttp://hodes.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-5206, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-2946Local Office Phone: (603) 223-9814, Local Fax Number: (603) 223-9819
Rep. Jay Inslee, Washington, 1sthttp://www.house.gov/inslee/DC Office Number: (202) 225-6311, DC Fax Number: (202) 226-1606Local Office Number: (360) 598-2342, Local Fax Number: (360) 598-3650
Rep. Paul Kanjorski, Pennsylvania, 11thhttp://kanjorski.house.gov/DC Office Number: 202-225-6511, DC Fax Number: 202-225-0764Local Office Number: 570-825-2200, Local Fax Number: 570-825-8685
Rep. Marcy Kaptur, Ohio, 9thhttp://www.kaptur.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-4146, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-7711Local Office Number: (419) 259-7500, Local Fax Number: (419) 255-9623
Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick, Arizona, 1sthttp://kirkpatrick.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-2315, DC Fax Number: (202) 226-9739Local Office Number: (928) 226-6914, Local Fax Number: (928) 226-2876
Rep. Ron Klein, Florida, 22ndhttp://www.klein.house.gov/index.htmlDC Office Number: (202) 225.3026, DC Fax Number: (202) 225.8398Local Office Number: (561) 544-6910, Local Fax Number: (561) 544-2864
Rep. Suzanne Kosmas, Florida, 24th http://www.kosmas.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-2706, DC Fax Number: (202) 226-6299Local Office Number: (407) 208-1106, Local Fax Number: (407) 208-1108
Rep. Dennis J. Kucinich, Ohio 10thhttp://kucinich.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-5871Local Office Number: (216) 228-8850
Rep. Jim Langevin, Rhode Island, 2ndhttp://langevin.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-2735, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-5976Local Office Number: (401) 732-9400, Local Fax Number: (401) 737-2982
Rep. Stephen Lynch, Massachusetts, 9thhttp://www.house.gov/lynch/DC Office Number: 202-225-8273, DC Fax Number: 202-225-3984Local Office Number: 617-428-2000, Local Office Fax: 617-428-2011
Rep. Daniel B. Maffei, New York, 25thhttp://maffei.house.gov/DC Fax Number: (202) 225-3701, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-4042Local Office Number: (315) 423-5657, Local Fax Number: (315) 423-5669
Rep. Ed Markey, Massachusetts, 7thhttp://markey.house.gov/DC Office Number: 202-225-2836Local Office Number: 781-396-2900
Rep. Alan B. Mollohan, West Virginia, 1sthttp://www.mollohan.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-4172, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-7564Local Office Number: (304) 292-3019, Local Fax Number: (304) 292-3027
Rep. Glenn C. Nye III, Virginia, 2ndhttp://nye.house.gov/index.htmlDC Office Number: (202) 225-4215, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-4218Local Office Number: (757) 326-6201, Fax: (757) 326-6209
Rep. Tom Perriello, Virginia, 5thhttp://perriello.house.gov/index.htmlDC Office Number: (202) 225-4711, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-5681Local Office Number: (434) 293-9631, Local Fax Number: (434) 293-9632
Rep. Gary Peters, Michigan, 9thhttp://peters.house.gov/index.htmlDC Office Number: (202) 225-5802, DC Fax Number: (202) 226-2356Local Office Number: (248) 273-4227, Local Fax Number: (248) 273-4704
Rep. Nick Rahall, West Virginia, 3rdhttp://www.rahall.house.gov/index.htmlDC Office Number: (202) 225-3452Local Office Number: (304) 325-6222
Rep. Laura Richardson, California, 37thhttp://richardson.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-7924, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-7926District Office Number: (202) 225-7924, District Fax Number: (202) 225-7926
Rep. Ciro Rodriguez, Texas 23rdhttp://www.rodriguez.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-4511, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-2237Local Office Number: (830) 757-8398, Local Fax Number: (830) 752-1893
Rep. Dutch Ruppersberger, Maryland, 2ndhttp://dutch.house.gov/DC Office Number: 202-225-3061, DC Fax Number: 202-225-3094Local Office Number: 410-628-2701, Local Fax Number: 410-628-2708
Rep. Linda Sanchez, California, 39thhttp://lindasanchez.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-6676Local Office Number: (562) 860-5050
Rep. Kurt Schrader, Oregon, 5thhttp://schrader.house.gov/index.htmlDC Office Number: (202) 225-5711, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-5699Local Office Number: (503) 588-9100, Local Fax Number: (503) 588-5517
Rep. Adam Smith, Washington, 9thhttp://adamsmith.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-8901Local Office Number: (253) 593-6600, Local Fax Number: (253) 593-6776
Rep. Peter Visclosky, Indiana, 1sthttp://www.house.gov/visclosky/DC Office Number: (202) 225-2461, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-2493Local Office Number: (219) 795-1844, DC Fax Number: (219) 795-1850
Rep. David Wu, Oregon, 1sthttp://www.house.gov/wu/DC Office Number: (202) 225-0855, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-9497Local Office Number: (503) 326-2901, Local Fax Number: (503) 326-5066
Rep. John Adler, New Jersey 3rdhttp://adler.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-4765, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-0778Local Office Number: (732) 608-7235, Local Fax Number: (732) 608-7268
Rep. Jason Altmire, Pennsylvania 4thhttp://www.altmire.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-2565, DC Fax Number: (202) 226-2274Local Office Number: (724) 378-0928, Local Fax Number: (724) 378-6171
Rep. Brian Baird, Washington 3rdhttp://www.baird.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-3536, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-2478Local Office Number: (360) 695-6292, Local Fax Number: (360) 695-6197
Rep. John Barrow, Georgia 12thhttp://www.barrow.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-2823, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-3377Local Office Number: (706) 722-4494, Local Fax Number: (706) 722-4496
Rep. Melissa Bean, Illinois 8thhttp://www.house.gov/bean/DC Office Number: (202) 225-3711, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-7830Local Office Number: (847) 517-2927, Local Fax Number: (847) 517-2931
Rep. Marion Berry, Arkansas 1sthttp://www.house.gov/berry/DC Office Number: (202) 225-4076, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-5602Local Office Number: (870) 972-4600, Local Fax Number: (870) 972-4605
Rep. Rick Boucher, Virginia 9thhttp://www.boucher.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-3861, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-0442Local Office Number: (276) 628-1145
Rep. Dennis Cardoza, California 18thhttp://www.house.gov/cardoza/DC Office Number: (202) 225-6131, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-0819Local Office Number: (209) 383-4455, Local Fax Number: (209) 726-1065
Rep. Travis Childers, Mississippi 1sthttp://childers.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-4306, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-3549Local Office Number: (662) 841-8808, Local Fax Number: (662) 841-8845
Rep. Jim Costa, California 20thhttp://www.house.gov/costa/DC Office Number: (202) 225-3341, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-9308Local Office Number: (559) 495-1620, Local Fax Number: (559) 495-1027
Rep. Artur Davis, Alabama 7thhttp://www.house.gov/arturdavis/DC Office Number: (202) 225-2665, DC Fax Number: (202) 226-9567Local Office Number: (205) 752-5380, Local Fax Number: (205) 752-5899
Rep. Joe Donnelly, Indiana 2ndhttp://donnelly.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-3915, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-6798Local Office Number: (574) 288-2780, Local Fax Number: (574) 288-2825
Rep. Parker Griffith, Alabama 5thhttp://griffith.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-4801, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-4392Local Office Number: (256) 551-0190, Local Fax Number: (256) 551-0194
Rep. Baron Hill, Indiana 9thhttp://baronhill.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-5315, DC Fax Number: (202) 226-6866Local Office Number: (812) 288-3999, Local Fax Number: (812) 288-3873
Rep. Steve Kagen, Wisconsin 8thhttp://kagen.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-5655, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-5729Local Office Number: (920) 437-1954, Local Fax Number: (920) 437-1978
Rep. Daniel Lipinski, Illinois 3rdhttp://www.lipinski.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-5701, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-1012Local Office Number: (312) 886-0481, Local Fax Number: (773) 767-9395
Rep. Jim Marshall, Georgia 8thhttp://jimmarshall.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-6531, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-3013Local Office Number: (478) 464-0255, Local Fax Number: (478) 464-0277
Rep. Jim Matheson, Utah 2ndhttp://www.house.gov/matheson/DC Office Number: (202) 225-3011, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-5638Local Office Number: (801) 486-1236, Local Fax Number: (801) 486-1417
Rep. Michael E. McMahon, New York 13thhttp://mcmahon.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-3371, DC Fax Number: (202) 226-1272Local Office Number: (718) 351-1062, Local Fax Number: (718) 980-0768
Rep. Michael Michaud, Maine 2ndhttp://michaud.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-6306, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-2943Local Office Number: (207) 942-6935, Local Fax Number: (207) 942-5907
Rep. Harry Mitchell, Arizona 5thhttp://mitchell.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-2190Local Office Number: (480) 946-2411
Rep. Collin C. Peterson, Minnesota 7thhttp://collinpeterson.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-2165, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-1593Local Office Number: (218) 847-5056
Rep. Mike Ross, Arkansas 4thhttp://ross.house.gov/DC Office Number: (202) 225-3772, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-1314Local Office Number: (870) 881-0681, Local Fax Number: (870) 881-0683
Rep. Ike Skelton, Missouri 4thhttp://www.house.gov/skelton/DC Office Number: (202) 225-2876Local Office Number: (816) 228-4242
Rep. Bart Stupak, Michigan 1sthttp://www.house.gov/stupak/DC Office Number: (202) 225-4735, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-4744Local Office Number: (906) 786-4504, Local Fax Number: (906) 786-4534
Rep. Gene Taylor, Mississippi 4thhttp://www.house.gov/genetaylor/DC Office Number: (202) 225-5772, DC Fax Number: (202) 225-7074Local Office Number: (228) 864-7670, Local Fax Number: (228) 864-3099
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